Managing Safety of Heterogeneous Systems: Decisions under Uncertainties and Risks

Yuri Ermoliev · Marek Makowski · Kurt Marti

јан 2012. · Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems 658. књига · Springer Science & Business Media

Е-књига

378

Страница

Оцене и рецензије нису верификоване Сазнајте више

О овој е-књизи

Managing safety of diverse systems requires decision-making under uncertainties and risks. Such systems are typically characterized by spatio-temporal heterogeneities, inter-dependencies, externalities, endogenous risks, discontinuities, irreversibility, practically irreducible uncertainties, and rare events with catastrophic consequences. Traditional scientific approaches rely on data from real observations and experiments; yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and experiments are usually impossible. Therefore, science-based support for addressing such new class of problems needs to replace the traditional “deterministic predictions” analysis by new methods and tools for designing decisions that are robust against the involved uncertainties and risks. The new methods treat uncertainties explicitly by using “synthetic” information derived by integration of “hard” elements, including available data, results of possible experiments, and formal representations of scientific facts, with “soft” elements based on diverse representations of scenarios and opinions of public, stakeholders, and experts. The volume presents such effective new methods, and illustrates their applications in different problem areas, including engineering, economy, finance, agriculture, environment, and policy making.

О аутору

Ermoliev, Y.: Professor, Institute Scholar, and Senior Researcher, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: modeling of decision-making processes under risks and uncertainties, stochastic and dynamic system optimization.

Makowski, M.: Dr., Leader, Integrated Modeling Environment (IME) Project, International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria. Research: model-based decision-making support, structured modeling, integrated model analysis, multiple-criteria problem analysis.

Marti, K.: o.Univ.Professor for Engineering Mathematics, Federal Armed Forces University Munich, Aerospace Engineering and Technology, Neubiberg/Munich, Germany. Research: Stochastic Optimization Methods in Engineering

Оцените ову е-књигу

Јавите нам своје мишљење.

Информације о читању

Паметни телефони и таблети

Инсталирајте апликацију Google Play књиге за Android и iPad/iPhone. Аутоматски се синхронизује са налогом и омогућава вам да читате онлајн и офлајн где год да се налазите.

Лаптопови и рачунари

Можете да слушате аудио-књиге купљене на Google Play-у помоћу веб-прегледача на рачунару.

Е-читачи и други уређаји

Да бисте читали на уређајима које користе е-мастило, као што су Kobo е-читачи, треба да преузмете фајл и пренесете га на уређај. Пратите детаљна упутства из центра за помоћ да бисте пренели фајлове у подржане е-читаче.

Пријавите незаконит садржај